Claude vs the Street
Every call made on an NDX100 or SPX100 name, scored head-to-head on EPS estimate, post-earnings direction, and magnitude. The Street gets consensus EPS + rating mix; Claude gets an independent analyst estimate + a direction call. Winner = closer to actual.
Claude
7 EPS
· 4 DIR
avg magnitude error +7.0%
· 🎯 2 spot-on
vs
The Street
4 EPS
· 2 DIR
0 EPS ties · 10 DIR ties
Last 10 scored:
? ? ? ? ? C = S = =
(C = Claude · S = Street · = tie)
21calls scored
79names covered
169in universe
Latest scored
$HD · The Home Depot, Inc. 2026-08-17
EPS
actual —
us $4.82 (off $—)
Street $4.76 (off $—)
Direction
us
🟢 UP
+1.8%
actual
🟢 UP
+0.5%
💡 Modest beat-and-hold. Long into the print, keep the size small — the FY guide is a coin-flip.
Recent calls
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$LOW Lowe's Companies, Inc. 2026-08-18EPS Claude $4.15 Street $4.22 Actual ⏳DIR Claude 🔴 DOWN -1.5% / -2.5% 3d Actual ⏳ awaiting💡 Low-quality-print setup. Short into the print, keep the size small — the FY guide is the whole game and it's a coin-flip binary.
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$HD The Home Depot, Inc. 2026-08-17EPS Claude $4.82 Street $4.76 Actual —DIR Claude 🟢 UP +1.8% / +2.8% 3d Actual 🟢 UP +0.5%💡 Modest beat-and-hold. Long into the print, keep the size small — the FY guide is a coin-flip.
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$AMAT Applied Materials 2026-08-13EPS Claude $3.44 Street $3.38 Actual ⏳DIR Claude 🔴 DOWN -4.5% / -2.5% 3d Actual ⏳ awaiting💡 Priced-to-perfection with a live cash-conversion red flag and a fresh GM-compression amplifier from last night's CSCO tape. Sell-the-news lean, small-to-medium size. Fade rips above +2%.
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$CSCO Cisco Systems 2026-08-12EPS Claude $1.19 Street $1.17 Actual ⏳DIR Claude 🔴 DOWN -2.5% / -1.5% 3d Actual ⏳ awaiting💡 Priced-to-perfection into a mega-cap AI print. Sell-the-news lean, small size. Fade rips above +2%.
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$SPG Simon Property Group 2026-08-10EPS Claude $3.30 Street $3.21 Actual ⏳DIR Claude 🟢 UP +1.5% / +2.0% 3d Actual ⏳ awaiting💡 Clean beat, modest pop. Long into the print, trim into +2%.
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$TTWO Take-Two Interactive 2026-08-06EPS Claude $-0.18 Street $-0.21 Actual ⏳DIR Claude 🟢 UP +2.5% / +3.5% 3d Actual ⏳ awaiting💡 Coiled-spring 3 months from GTA VI. Long into the print, tight stop on any delay language.
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$MNST Monster Beverage 2026-08-06EPS Claude $0.59 Street $0.58 Actual ⏳DIR Claude 🔴 DOWN -1.5% / -2.0% 3d Actual ⏳ awaiting💡 Priced-in reaffirm into staples-decel tape. Short into the print for a shallow fade.
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$MCHP Microchip Technology 2026-08-06EPS Claude $0.72 Street $0.70 Actual ⏳DIR Claude 🟢 UP +3.5% / +5.0% 3d Actual ⏳ awaiting💡 Coiled-spring on analog-cycle inflection. Long into the print for a +3-5% snapback.
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$ABNB Airbnb 2026-08-06EPS Claude $1.28 Street $1.25 Actual ⏳DIR Claude 🔴 DOWN -2.5% / -3.5% 3d Actual ⏳ awaiting💡 Beat-in-price with margin overhang. Short into the print for a shallow fade.
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$WBD Warner Bros. Discovery 2026-08-05EPS Claude $-0.18 Street $-0.13 Actual ⏳DIR Claude 🔴 DOWN -3.5% / -4.5% 3d Actual ⏳ awaiting💡 Weak print into deal limbo. Short into the print, cover on any deal-progress headline.
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$MELI MercadoLibre 2026-08-05EPS Claude $9.35 Street $8.94 Actual ⏳DIR Claude 🟢 UP +2.5% / +3.5% 3d Actual ⏳ awaiting💡 Clean beat + narrative-gap unlock. Long into the print, trim into strength.
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$KDP Keurig Dr Pepper 2026-08-05EPS Claude $0.55 Street $0.55 Actual ⏳DIR Claude 🔴 DOWN -1.5% / -2.0% 3d Actual ⏳ awaiting💡 Soft print, M&A + split overhang caps upside. Short into the print for a shallow -1.5% fade.
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$DASH DoorDash 2026-08-05EPS Claude $0.52 Street $0.47 Actual ⏳DIR Claude 🔴 DOWN -3.5% / -5.0% 3d Actual ⏳ awaiting💡 Sell-the-news setup with same-day peer confirmation. Short into the print, cover on any Q3 raise.
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$APP AppLovin 2026-08-05EPS Claude $3.88 Street $3.72 Actual ⏳DIR Claude 🟢 UP +5.0% / +6.0% 3d Actual ⏳ awaiting💡 Beat-and-guide-nudge squeeze setup. Long into the print.
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$UBER Uber Technologies 2026-08-04EPS Claude $0.68 Street $0.62 Actual —DIR Claude 🟢 UP +4.0% / +6.0% 3d Actual 🟢 UP +8.5%💡 Long into the print. Sized medium. Correcting prior under-sizing on the 3-stack amplifier.
By sector
| Sector | Calls | Claude EPS | Street EPS | Claude DIR | Street DIR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uncategorized | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Autos / AI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Financials / Payments | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Energy / Oilfield Services | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tech / Semis (IDM + Foundry) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Communication Services / Cable | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Healthcare / Biotech | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tech / Software (AI/Data) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Energy / E&P (Permian) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Utilities / Regulated Electric | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tech / Semis (AI accelerators) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tech / Crypto-leveraged equity | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pharma / Oncology + Vaccines | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Media / Streaming / Parks | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Consumer / Mobility | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Consumer Discretionary / Home Improvement | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |